Bitcoin si prepara a ulteriori declini, mentre si concretizzano segnali inquietanti di un "terribile mercato orso"
Analisi recente di TradingShot individua un possibile scenario bearish per Bitcoin, traendo paralleli tra le condizioni attuali del mercato e il picco del ciclo del 2021.
Secondo l'analisi di TradingShot, il mercato ha registrato massimi inferiori seguiti da minimi inferiori sia nel 2021 che nel 2025. Se questo schema si ripetesse, potrebbe segnalare un ciclo bearish che potrebbe cancellare gran parte dei guadagni di quest'anno.
Despite the short-term bearish pressure, the broader trend for Bitcoin remains positive. The cryptocurrency remains above its 200-day SMA of $95,666, suggesting that the broader uptrend remains intact.
However, Bitcoin has struggled to regain momentum and has slipped below the 50-day moving average. The 14-day RSI is at 37.76, indicating that Bitcoin is approaching oversold conditions, which may suggest selling momentum is easing.
This current pullback has raised concerns of extended losses, as the price is currently testing support at the MA50. Losing this level may trigger a deeper correction, as it did in 2021.
The technical indicators suggest potential downside risks for Bitcoin. The RSI trendlines align in both periods, reinforcing the bearish fractal. Bitcoin's current price is $108,234, down 2% in the last 24 hours and 3% on the weekly chart.
TradingShot has highlighted a similar setup in August 2025, with August's higher high mirroring the 2021 pattern. Bitcoin rebounded in both 2021 and 2025, breaking above the MA50 and MA200 before forming a bull flag after a golden cross. That rally ultimately ended with a double top, marking the peak of the cycle in both years.
If history repeats, Bitcoin could be on the verge of a bear cycle. However, it's important to note that market conditions can change rapidly, and a potential rebound could follow if buying pressure strengthens.
The cryptocurrency analyst who posted on TradingView on August 29 identifying a possible parallel between the current Bitcoin chart and the 2021 cycle top, describing a possible impact on Bitcoin price in the coming days, has not been explicitly named in the provided search results.
In conclusion, while the technical indicators suggest potential downside risks for Bitcoin, it's crucial to stay vigilant and adapt to any changes in market conditions. Investors should closely monitor Bitcoin's price action and technical indicators for any signs of a potential rebound.
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